Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 2574.048245 2775.220757 2976.832076 3193.727441 3420.155496 3649.261415 3898.294835
2026-01-18 2243.803132 2546.029964 2858.100055 3203.229221 3573.069091 3956.404926 4382.665682
2026-01-25 2022.052170 2387.458146 2773.483393 3209.235653 3685.066726 4186.669654 4753.197261
2026-02-01 1828.860735 2237.352398 2677.659875 3183.505511 3744.684602 4344.546695 5030.636888
2026-02-08 1685.008575 2128.377398 2614.911392 3182.495247 3820.738533 4511.002375 5308.765122
2026-02-15 1547.807498 2016.567711 2539.853322 3159.150666 3864.285015 4635.039651 5534.201225
2026-02-22 1472.441894 1970.102834 2533.800326 3208.982363 3985.675498 4842.007416 5848.538701
2026-03-01 1385.054735 1903.768558 2499.951512 3222.550096 4062.128873 4995.512332 6100.493015
2026-03-08 1283.985247 1815.391220 2435.484831 3196.206381 4089.013696 5089.816234 6283.011210
2026-03-15 1182.365232 1721.039794 2359.394089 3152.064777 4091.665398 5153.473849 6428.097321
2026-03-22 1173.403393 1740.316854 2418.796056 3267.751301 4280.327407 5430.335173 6816.643708
2026-03-29 1132.540895 1717.010682 2424.571489 3317.723333 4390.563855 5615.920222 7100.047755
2026-04-05 1071.746183 1666.984001 2397.198006 3328.222438 4455.505818 5751.216077 7328.813363
2026-04-12 1013.995701 1618.422017 2369.795864 3337.298078 4517.884842 5883.182197 7553.898045
2026-04-19 959.101903 1570.915717 2341.533706 3343.439876 4575.235840 6008.137048 7770.020209
2026-04-26 893.585933 1506.099495 2288.786543 3317.046494 4591.438681 6083.132023 7926.596073
2026-05-03 843.371388 1459.679438 2257.688766 3316.010153 4637.122181 6192.055126 8122.252970
2026-05-10 786.975821 1402.046653 2209.892297 3292.062474 4653.210343 6264.524113 8273.984467
2026-05-17 764.177407 1390.521600 2221.714719 3343.179510 4761.339397 6446.965820 8555.919300
2026-05-24 728.311250 1358.651203 2205.291562 3357.095880 4822.591422 6572.534532 8769.997632
2026-05-31 679.203225 1305.296537 2158.316157 3330.074721 4831.584128 6634.055773 8906.979099
2026-06-07 626.512282 1244.090664 2098.668287 3284.793188 4816.199266 6664.835641 9006.204974
2026-06-14 634.176574 1273.856064 2163.810812 3403.454551 5008.085090 6948.790227 9410.417706